1 Aug · 22:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1536
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cizek
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1518
FormLLWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H7-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.