1 Aug · 18:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1570
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kucera
MK
🇨🇿Martin Kucera
ELO 1574
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kucera
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H19-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.