1 Aug · 20:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1555
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kindl
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1536
FormWWLWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cizek🌟Kindl goes over total as favourite 71% (28)
Fair odds · Kindl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H8-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.