1 Aug · 21:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1446
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Budik
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1468
FormWLLLL
48%
52%
🌟Budik goes over total as favourite 84% (44)
Fair odds · Budik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H47-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.