1 Aug · 20:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1576
FormWLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Dohnal
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1426
FormLWLLL
62%
38%
🌟Dohnal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (111)
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+150
H2H21-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-7)