1 Aug · 22:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1426
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sebl
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1446
FormLLLLL
48%
52%
🌟Sebl stays under total as favourite 62% (77)
Fair odds · Sebl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 31% · 3.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H7-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.