1 Aug · 22:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1501
FormWLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Krupnik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1567
FormWWLLW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vitasek🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (51)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H20-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-19)