1 Aug · 21:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇨🇿Martin Kucera
ELO 1574
FormLLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Bartik
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Bartik
ELO 1687
FormWWLWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Bartik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+113
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)