1 Aug · 20:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Bartik
ELO 1687
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Bartik
DL
🇨🇿Dominik Lengal
ELO 1636
FormWWWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Bartik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H26-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.