1 Aug · 21:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1567
FormWWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kleprlik
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1609
FormLWWWL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krupnik🌟Kleprlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (19)
Fair odds · Kleprlik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H13-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.