1 Aug · 23:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1468
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Budik
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1426
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
🌟Budik goes over total as favourite 84% (44)
Fair odds · Budik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H16-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.