01 Aug · 13:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1647
3-1Final setsDuch won
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1636
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Guzy at 50%. The actual result was Adam Duch 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Karol Guzy favoured — closing 1.7
Set handicap
Karol Guzy −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Karol Guzy −2.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Duch is favoured to win, below means Karol Guzy.
▲ Adam Duchpre 54% → final 95%
Karol Guzy ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts58 points · 3 games