1 Aug · 17:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RM
🇨🇿Rafal Majdak
ELO 1570
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Patryk
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1582
FormLWWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.