2 Aug · 15:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1481
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sulc
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1535
FormWLLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Sulc
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H10-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.