2 Aug · 14:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1525
FormLLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Rek
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1576
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sykora🌟Sykora covers set handicap as underdog 66% (59)
Fair odds · Rek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.