2 Aug · 13:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1608
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chaloupka
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1636
FormLWLLL
48%
52%
🌟Pawlik covers set handicap as underdog 82% (22)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.