2 Aug · 14:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1535
FormWLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rek
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1576
FormLWWWW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sulc🌟Sulc covers set handicap as underdog 67% (93)
Fair odds · Rek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H26-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.