2 Aug · 13:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1411
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Rolik
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1418
FormLLLWW
49%
51%
🌟Rolik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (71)
Fair odds · Rolik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H77-89
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.