2 Aug · 12:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LP
🇨🇿Lukas Pour
ELO 1361
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Nemec
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1411
FormLLWWL
46%
54%
🌟Pour goes over total as underdog 75% (12)
Fair odds · Nemec
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H19-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.