2 Aug · 14:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1566
FormWLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pawlik
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1608
FormLLWLL
47%
53%
🌟Pawlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (24)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H3-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.