2 Aug · 13:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1525
FormLLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sykora
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1481
FormLWWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Sykora
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H48-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.