2 Aug · 14:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1528
FormWWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Zeman
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1411
FormLLWWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+117
H2H93-71
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (93-71)