2 Aug · 12:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1615
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Skvrna
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1566
FormWLLWW
54%
46%
🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (88)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H14-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.