2 Aug · 12:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1557
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Benes
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1522
FormWWLWW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Precek🌟Benes rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (76)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H14-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.