2 Aug · 13:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Skalicky
ELO 1546
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Benes
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1557
FormWWLWL
49%
51%
🌟Benes rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (76)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H7-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.