2 Aug · 13:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1615
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chaloupka
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1636
FormLWLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H9-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.