2 Aug · 12:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1418
FormLLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1528
FormWWWWL
41%
59%
🌟Rolik covers set handicap as underdog 67% (102)
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~80 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H67-52
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (67-52)