2 Aug · 16:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1481
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zahradka
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1465
FormLLLLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kral🌟Kral goes over total as underdog 69% (125)
Fair odds · Zahradka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H76-63
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.