2 Aug · 20:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1453
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jancak
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1512
FormLLWWW
45%
55%
🌟Jancak goes over total as favourite 67% (46)
Fair odds · Jancak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H8-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)