2 Aug · 16:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zivny
ELO 1532
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zivny
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1503
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Zivny
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.