2 Aug · 17:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1661
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kadavy
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1713
FormLLWLL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stusek🌟Stusek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (91)
Fair odds · Kadavy
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H8-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.