2 Aug · 19:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Stusek
ELO 1496
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vitasek
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1534
FormWWLWL
47%
53%
🌟Vitasek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 21% (38)
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H2-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.