2 Aug · 12:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1532
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Patryk
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1591
FormWWLWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H16-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-15)