2 Aug · 15:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1582
FormWWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Cizek
PM
🇨🇿Patrik Marsalek
ELO 1506
FormLLLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H2-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)