2 Aug · 18:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1504
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Marsalek
PM
🇨🇿Patrik Marsalek
ELO 1506
FormLLLWW
50%
50%
🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 78% (27)
Fair odds · Marsalek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~80 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.