2 Aug · 16:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1582
FormWWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Cizek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1504
FormLWLLL
56%
44%
🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 78% (27)
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H8-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)