2 Aug · 22:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1539
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Zeman
ZD
🇨🇿Zdenek Dusek
ELO 1440
FormLLWLW
58%
42%
🌟Dusek goes over total as underdog 68% (62)
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+99
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)