2 Aug · 18:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zivny
ELO 1532
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Lovl
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1543
FormWWWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Lovl
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H5-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.