2 Aug · 21:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1558
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Karel
FK
🇨🇿Filip Karel
ELO 1641
FormWLLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Karel
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H8-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-6)