2 Aug · 17:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PM
🇨🇿Patrik Marsalek
ELO 1506
FormLLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pawlik
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1593
FormLLLLW
43%
57%
🌟Pawlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (24)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)