2 Aug · 22:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DL
🇨🇿Dominik Lengal
ELO 1644
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lengal
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1558
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Lengal
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H23-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-7)