2 Aug · 17:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1512
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mandrysz
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1548
FormWWLWL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sindler🌟Sindler covers set handicap as underdog 74% (47)
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H15-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.