2 Aug · 17:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zivny
ELO 1532
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Zivny
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fnukal
ELO 1530
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Zivny
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.