2 Aug · 18:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DJ
🇨🇿David Jicha
ELO 1670
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jicha
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1661
FormWLLWW
51%
49%
🌟Jicha stays under total as favourite 76% (29)
Fair odds · Jicha
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H98-74
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.