2 Aug · 23:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MP
🇨🇿Michal Prochazka
ELO 1610
FormLLWWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1786
FormWWWWW
36%
64%
🔥 Underdog lean · Prochazka🌟Prochazka covers set handicap as underdog 81% (21)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+176
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+176)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)