2 Aug · 20:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1462
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jancak
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1512
FormLLWWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chlad🌟Jancak goes over total as favourite 67% (46)
Fair odds · Jancak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.