2 Aug · 21:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ZD
🇨🇿Zdenek Dusek
ELO 1440
FormLLWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Boltik
MB
🇨🇿Martin Boltik
ELO 1559
FormLLLWW
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dusek🌟Dusek goes over total as underdog 68% (62)
Fair odds · Boltik
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+119
H2H10-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-8)