2 Aug · 18:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1689
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vorisek
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1661
FormWLLWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stusek🌟Stusek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (91)
Fair odds · Vorisek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H179-150
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.