2 Aug · 20:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Martin Boltik
ELO 1559
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Boltik
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1539
FormWWWWW
52%
48%
🌟Zeman goes over total as underdog 67% (45)
Fair odds · Boltik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.