2 Aug · 22:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1529
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vitasek
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1534
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vitasek🌟Vitasek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 21% (38)
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H13-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.